SES Research Poll Results On CPAC

Excellent! I hope the Liberals get wiped out - they deserve it after stealing so much money. Harper's got a good plan, he will make a great Prime Minister.

Yes he would. In Mexico !



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"Arrogance in Politics is unacceptable"
Jim Callaghan
Minden, Ontario
705-286-1860
www.misterc.ca

Ah, don`t believe the polls. We`ll see at the final buzzer, so to speak. I think as long as they don`t fix the election like Bush`s 2000 election, we won`t have to worry about the northern republicans. Not that I want the liberals to win either.

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Dave Ruston

Here's more:
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Based on last nights tracking polls, Conservatives continue to hold on to a lead over the incumbent Liberals: Conservatives 35%, Liberals 31%, NDP 16%, BQ 11%, Green 6%. Harpers personal numbers continue to be on the move.

According to the CPAC-SES tracking he is now statistically tied with Paul Martin as the person Canadians thing would make the best Prime Minister:
Martin 27%, Harper 26%, Unsure 22%, None of the Above 13%, Layton 10%, Duceppe 4%. Tune into CPAC tonight to get the latest regional breakdowns from our nightly tracking.

Polling June 5 to June 7 (Random Telephone Survey of 600 Canadians, MoE ±4.1%, 19 times out of 20). Percentages may not add up to 100 due to rounding. Our tracking polls allow for a daily barometer on the activities
of the respective campaigns.

Decided Voters (Change from May 25th, 1st Nightly Tracking Poll Results)
CP - 35% (+7)
LIB - 31% (-10)
NDP - 16 (-2)
BQ - 11% (0)
GP - 6% (+3)
*23% of Canadians were undecided (+2)

Appetite for Change (Change from May 25th, 1st Nightly Tracking Poll
Results)
Time for Change - 55% (+3)
Liberals doing a good job - 23% (-5)
Agree with neither - 11% (0)
Unsure - 11% (+1)

Best PM (Change from May 25th, 1st Nightly Tracking Poll Results)
Martin - 27% (-4)
Harper - 26% (+9)
Unsure -22% (-2)
None - 13% (-3)
Layton - 10% (+1)
Duceppe - 4% (+1)

On the SES website (www.sesresearch.com), we post updated daily
longitudinal tracking charts and details on the questions and the
methodology each afternoon. Watch PrimeTime Politics at 8 pm EST (Monday
to Friday) to get a detailed briefing of the numbers.

For any media use of the polling data, we need to clearly identify the
sponsor (CPAC). Please refer to the research as the CPAC-SES Nightly
Tracking.

Feel free to forward this e-mail.

Cheers,
Nik
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Nikita James Nanos, CMRP
President & CEO
SES Research
T 613.234.4666
C 613.276.2731
www.sesresearch.com

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"Arrogance in Politics is unacceptable"
Jim Callaghan
Minden, Ontario
705-286-1860
www.misterc.ca

Didn't the poll's show Chretien was gonna loose? Didn't they also show that Bob Rae didn't stand a chance according to the poll's. I recall that both of these elections had results no one expected.

Poll's mean nothing is what I'm starting to believe.

Kevin

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"Love actually, is all around us" --From the movie Love Actually.

<p>Here's a good article about poll's. <p><a href="http://www.canoe.ca/NewsStand/EdmontonSun/News/2004/06/08/490095.html"><b>The politics of polling</b></a> <p>Kevin <p>---<br>"Love actually, is all around us" --From the movie Love Actually.

I also just remembered that the NDP candidate in a Hamilton riding won by a very large amount of votes over the Liberal candidate in a byelection. Again the poll's predicted a liberal win. For some reason the NDP pulled that one out by a large amount of votes.

I believe the NDP will win allot of ridings. They will win more then what the poll's predict.

Kevin

Yeah, its been an interesting election. I wonder if we've finally put all that neo-conservatism behind us, Harper's tax-cuts notwithstanding (ha ha--a pun). <p> Watching the utter train wreck Paul Martin has become is also fun.

Martin certainly isn't the Prime Minister he thought he was going to be.

He's not carrying on a very good campaign, but let's look at Harper. He's told his party flat out NOT to get involved in local debates, and I think this is out of fear.

The less Harper and his party say, the less trouble they get into.

It's a campaign of silence. No real issues. What has he got to hide, except his past ?





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"Arrogance in Politics is unacceptable"
Jim Callaghan
Minden, Ontario
705-286-1860
www.misterc.ca

Well Jim, besides his past, I think he is hiding his future agenda!

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If I stand for my country today...will my country be here to stand for me tomorrow?

22% undecided? Wow... That's huge. More people are undecided than are committed to voting for the NDP, and very nearly as many as are committed to voting for the Cons or the Liberals. And judging from the update posted later in the thread, undecideds might be slowly growing. It'd be interesting to see which way these people would jump if asked who they'd vote for if they had to vote, and which way they'll jump come election day.

It also matters how many actually jump up. Considering voter turnout will probably be dismal again we have to wonder whose % popularity is going to suffer more... so get people to vote!

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I try to take one day at a time, but sometimes several days attack me at once.

Amelia from Edmonton

Did I ever mention I HATE strategic voting ?????

Last night's results:
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Based on last night's numbers, CPAC-SES Nightly Tracking keeps the Conservatives and Liberals in a two-way race: Conservatives 37%, Liberals 33%, NDP 15%, BQ 10%, Green 5%. The last couple of days have seen a bit of a slide in NDP support.

Attacks on the Conservatives on social issues may be shifting some support from the NDP to the Liberals. It still a bit early to tell but NDP supporters strategically voting for the Liberals to block a Harper win is something to watch. (Say it isn't so !!!! - Jim)

Polling June 6 to June 8 (Random Telephone Survey of 600 Canadians, MoE
±4.1%, 19 times out of 20). Percentages may not add up to 100 due to
rounding. Our tracking polls allow for a daily barometer on the activities
of the respective campaigns.

Decided Voters (Change from May 25th, 1st Nightly Tracking Poll Results)
CP - 37% (+9)
LIB - 33% (-8)
NDP - 15 (-3)
BQ - 10% (-1)
GP - 5% (+2)
*22% of Canadians were undecided (+1)

Appetite for Change (Change from May 25th, 1st Nightly Tracking Poll
Results)
Time for Change - 55% (+3)
Liberals doing a good job - 22% (-6)
Agree with neither - 12% (+1)
Unsure - 11% (+1)

Best PM (Change from May 25th, 1st Nightly Tracking Poll Results)
Martin - 27% (-4)
Harper - 25% (+8)
Unsure -22% (-2)
None - 12% (-4)
Layton - 10% (+1)
Duceppe - 4% (+1)



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"Arrogance in Politics is unacceptable"
Jim Callaghan
Minden, Ontario
705-286-1860
www.misterc.ca

<p>Egarwaen, <blockquote>It'd be interesting to see which way these people would jump if asked who they'd vote for if they had to vote, and which way they'll jump come election day.</blockquote> <p>Well I know I said that poll's mean nothing come election day. I do recall a poll that said the NDP was ahead of the conservatives by 1% for undecided voters. I think it was like 23% for NDP and 22% for the Conservatives. This was for Ontario I believe not for all of Canada. <p>Kevin<p>---<br>"Love actually, is all around us" --From the movie Love Actually.