Polls Can Be Very, Very Wrong

Posted on Thursday, January 12 at 10:50 by BC Mary
The paper did not compare the poll it commissioned with the results from 2004; they are as follows: ....................2004 Election ...........Jan 5-6, 2005 Poll Liberal ...................40.3% .............................41% Conservative....... 19.2%.............................. 19% NDP....................... 32.3%.............................. 33% Green...................... 6.8% .................................7% If the poll is correct, nothing has changed in 18 months as far as voting intention goes in Vancouver Centre. Rather than using that as the story line, the paper brought up an old news story, and made that the headline. http://www.strategicthoughts.com/ [Proofreader's note: this article was edited for spelling and typos on January 12, 2006]

Note: http://www.strategictho...

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  1. Thu Jan 12, 2006 9:17 pm
    Polls smell of lies and misleading information, why ? What are these poll trying to get us to do? Could it be they are trying to get those of you who are unable to think for your self, to follow them in a direction that will benefit the political party who hire them.
    Please try to get through this election by your self and think outside that political party box .

    ---
    Good government is not a party government

  2. Thu Jan 12, 2006 10:24 pm
    yeah, but do you know the poll is wrong?

  3. Fri Jan 13, 2006 1:13 am
    But, Anonymous, do you know the poll is correct?

    Even within 4%?

    19 times out of 20?

    Would your bank manager let you pay off your mortgage on those
    terms?

  4. by julius
    Fri Jan 13, 2006 3:11 am
    Personally i think polls should be illegal in an election. They manipulate the population, and are most likely all lies put in place by corporate interest.

    Ive noticed that every time I watch CTV (which isnt often) the NDP has not changed their position in the "polls", while everywhere else I look they fluctuate.

  5. Fri Jan 13, 2006 4:14 am
    The same goes for CBC .. but how can you trust the media any way? One minute they are reporting on a political party, the next they are a spin doctors for the party and then the next time you see them on TV they are a candidate.

    I find it sickening that CBC Susan Murray is now a Liberal Party Spin Doctor and onetime not long ago she was a CBC reporter. So was Susan telling us all we should have known about the Liberals or was she and the CBC avoiding telling us the whole the truth?

  6. Fri Jan 13, 2006 12:09 pm
    I think it might be wrong to run David Schreck's story under a headline declaring polls can be very wrong. Schreck is pointing out that reporters can be very wrong and biased in their interpretation of the polls.

    The poll simply suggests, whether right or wrong, that nothing has changed in the riding since the last election. According to the poll Svend is doing just as well as the NDP did last time around. I don't see using Schreck's story to prove how wrong polls are -- it doesn't show that.

  7. Fri Jan 13, 2006 5:03 pm
    Anonymous at 4:09 AM ... good point ... my error in wording of
    headline. What's meant (as most readers understood) is that by
    not publishing the two polls for comparison, the press was able to
    suggest a different reality. David Schreck's contribution was to
    publish the two polls, side by side, so that the readers do have a
    fair chance to compare the two.

    Anonymous at 8:14 PM ... I agree ... I always liked Susan Murray's
    take on political events while she was a news reporter (not for
    CBC but for the Ottawa Citizen, a CanWest newspaper) ... and I felt
    a real shock of betrayal, almost, when she "crossed the floor" and
    became a mouthpiece for a political party. I too wondered if she
    had always felt that way ... when most journalists do their level best
    to keep on neutral ground. I wonder how CBC felt !



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