As we read and type right now, the situation in Iraq is war. In Fallujah (a northern, Sunni, Saddam stronghold) the Americans have encirled the city, and at 1 am Tuesday morning penetrated deep into the city with helicopter and AC-130 Gunship support. In the south the Shi'a loyal to Al-Sadr are assaulting American troops and can expect the same response.
The civilian death toll during this will be catastrophic, the cities left in ruins. Hatred against the Americans can only grow. Already the calls for reinforcements have gone out.
Their will be no comparison to Vietnam after this war. Either the Americans will get out immediately or they will wind up fighting a war against an entire region. Al-Sadr is young, popular and can either lead a wider portion of Islam to war (he is calling in Hamas and Hezbollah now) or he will serve as a martyr (everyone else in his family has). A much wider conflict can emerge from the decisions made in the coming days.
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Dave Ruston
"The greatest price of not participating in politics is being governed by your inferiors." Plato
You obviously are not the type of person that can put yourself in someone else's shoes are you? There are some good self-help books out there with lessons on empathy, I suggest you get yourself some of them. It may come in handy for when you're an old person that no one wants to look after or gives a shit about. You'll have something to reference your situation to.
just like we did in the past and are doing today.
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If I stand for my country today...will my country be here to stand for me tomorrow?
Al-Sadr naturally would like to head a state much like the Iranian one, just as most people would want to run a state of their religion (and take retribution against those who killed your family). It is not whether he is right or wrong, judgement from an ethnocentric view point such as your own (or mine too for that matter)is worthless. The simple facts must be assessed, al-Sadr has an army, he has 'legitimacy', and he has all the necessary circumstances to rally his country against the Americans.
If al-Sadr is assassinated someone will take his place. The conditions the Americans have created in Iraq are ideal for a militant backlash and/or terrorist creation. The Americans cannot hope to hold on to Iraq and the more they try, the more it will fall away from them. That is one lesson that at least the American public learned if the members of the Bush admin did not. The American public will not support another Vietnam.
It looks like the administration is going to try to send more troops to Iraq and lie to the world about what is going on. It will not work. Foreign governments that back the Americans will be toppled or voted from office. Americans will do the same to any administration that tries to conscipt them for Iraq.
America must get out of Iraq ASAP. The United Nations cannot enter Iraq with any military force as they would be seen the same as Americans now. Al-Sadr has a history of social justice and caring for the Iraqi people. The UN SHOULD send civilians to Iraq to assist Al-Sadr in creating a stable situation in Iraq and convey legitimacy and aid on him if he accepts not going after Sunni's in retaliation. It may or may not work, but there is no other way that will succeed. Nuke them all maybe, but that would have consequences of a different and worse type that anybody with 2 functioning cells in their brain can see.
I do not claim to KNOW what will work in Iraq, but I do know what will fail. If the goal really is democracy and security the Americans have FAILED. I do not believe that was the goal in the first place, and so the US will have war and terrorism to deal with. You reap what you sow.
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If we are standing still we are moving backwards.
1. Falloojeh is the correct spelling.
2. The Baghdad Burning site did not report that the hospital was bombed and I can't remember which site I got this info off of so I have to retract it. Sorry.