Statscan Manipulating CPI?

Posted on Wednesday, August 16 at 10:11 by Patm
A glitch in a computer formula meant the agency was wrong about the price of hotel and motel rooms during the period: Statistics Canada had reported that room rates fell by 16 per cent when they really rose by 32 per cent. The error in that CPI component threw off the whole index. The consumer price index is one of the most closely watched monthly economic indicators because the Bank of Canada uses it to help set interest rates. The CPI figure is vital to Canadians. It is used to calculate wage increases, alimony payments and interest rates. Statistics Canada said it didn't notice the mistake until now because anecdotal evidence suggested Canada's tourism industry was facing tough times. rest of story at: http://www.cbc.ca/story/business/national/2006/08/16/statcan.html [Proofreader's note: this article was edited for spelling and typos on August 17, 2006]

Note: http://www.cbc.ca/story...

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  1. Wed Aug 16, 2006 5:20 pm
    If you need StatsCan to tell you that the cost of living is increasing dramatically, you've got a problem. The price of oil, which isn't exactly low, pretty much affects the price of all goods and services across the board.

    What a surprise? Another Government agency that uses taxpayer funding to shove BS propaganda down Canadians' throats. All those economic stats and numbers are reported for Big Media to jerk off at.

  2. by avatar Jacob
    Wed Aug 16, 2006 7:30 pm
    Through the 1990's when "downloading" was the buzz word, these indices have become less believable because of the shift of responsibility. Let's look at land development:

    What used to be a federal responsibility and cost, was downloaded to the province, who then downloaded responsibilities and costs to the municipalities.

    Who in turn downloaded responsibilities and costs to private developers. Who in turn took the responsibilities and charged the ultimate users.

    In the mean time, federal and provincial taxes (that used to pay for various things) were not reduced when this downloading took place. So the consumer paid much more.

    Since then, I have been very skeptic of these calculations.

  3. Thu Aug 17, 2006 12:47 pm
    Miscalculated, on average, by a 10th of a percentage point??? Given that the CPI is manipulated by removing items that may skew too much (in other words, making the CPI reflect real-life), it's absolutely incredible that they can't even do it honestly with the few items that they've left as part of the index.

    The CPI is garbage. Why do you think it is that you never see politicians' salaries "indexed for inflation"? Politicians know better than to accept that 2% wage increase when true inflation is near if not over double digits.

    Rico.

  4. by Cheech
    Sun Sep 03, 2006 3:39 pm
    Statscan wasn’t ‘caught’ they said they miscalculated it. Official CPI’s are rarely fixed.

    If you read the economist magazine you would know that Statscan is a very highly regarded statistical agency. They sure screwed up this time but I don’t believe there is a conspiracy. They produce the number; they don’t say that your employer should use it as a salary escalator.

    They did what they could, they admitted an error, fixed it and made information available about how the numbers were affected.

    The size and length of time is cause for concern but it is far from junk.



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